Three sections are clearly visible on the observation graph: two extreme equally increasing and unchanging between them.

I digitized the graph of observations, highlighted the sections with color and gave linear regression equations for each of them (Fig. 2).

It seems that the Nobel model ignores, does not see the first section, and therefore is not convincing. In addition, the model imitates the third section without going beyond it - that is, there is no extrapolation and, apparently, it is premature to talk about its some kind of predictive ability.

The undoubted attractiveness of the model is in its inspiring belief in humanity as a new geological force - Vladimir Vernadsky spoke about this at the dawn of the last century.

Links

1. https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2021/10/popular-physicsprize2021.pdf