Низовцев Юрий Михайлович
On the cyclicity of civilizations in their multiplicity

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  • Аннотация:
    To date, astronomical observation data show the existence of planets similar to Earth (exoplanets), but the presence of civilizations there, in particular, by energy emissions or any information signals, is not observed. What conclusions can be drawn on this basis?
  
  To date, astronomical observation data show the existence of planets similar to Earth (exoplanets), but the presence of civilizations there, in particular, by energy emissions or any information signals, is not observed. What conclusions can be drawn on this basis?
  
  Keywords: person, mind, civilization, time, development, religion, science.
  
  The existence of many exoplanets recently discovered relatively close to Earth shows, on the one hand, their countless number in the infinite Creation, but, on the other hand, no activity characteristic of highly developed technologically and energetically civilizations has been detected [1].
  What conclusions can be drawn on this contradictory basis, and can these conclusions be considered sufficiently reliable?
  It is clear that among these countless exoplanets, over time, conditions will inevitably be created in which, just like on Earth, life with its peak - a civilization - can develop.
  This discovery of exoplanets buried the conclusion of M. Hart [2], as well as I. S. Shklovsky [3] about the uniqueness of the earthly civilization, which was clearly made hastily, as well as the hypothesis of "difficult steps" of B. Carter [4], who believed that the slowness of evolution presupposes the uniqueness of the creation of an intelligent community, since evolution does not have time to create this community.
  Of course, the supporters of the above hypotheses may complain about the limited and insufficient data on what is happening on exoplanets, but the fact that the latter exist in different time ranges and their number is unlimited, irrefutably testifies to the possibility of the emergence of life on them, and therefore, civilizations at least in the same way as it happened on Earth.
  In addition, the discovery of exoplanets that are as if closed inside themselves in terms of life activity testifies to the fact that the natives do not strive or cannot go, at least, far beyond the boundaries of their planets into space, since the products of the activities of possible civilizations on them do not manifest themselves in any way, including emissions of energy and significant information beyond the planets.
  And this, in turn, in itself, indicates the inadequacy of the popular to this day theory of the unlimited development of intelligent civilizations.
  What then remains for the conclusions from the above, if we exclude the possible, but not obligatory death of civilization as a result of certain catastrophes, especially since they also happened on Earth, but so far without fatal consequences for the progress of life, which, nevertheless, as is known, cannot last indefinitely in the world of finite things and processes?
  So, an unambiguous conclusion suggests itself: the civilizations appear on exoplanets, as on Earth, develop technologically and culturally to a certain limit, and then collapse, appearing after some time, if the conditions for their existence are preserved, again and again.
  As for the isolation of these civilizations in the place of their own existence, that is, the absence of their manifestation in any form for their "neighbors in intelligence," it must be stated that civilizations do not have the means to enter deep space, since they disintegrate before that.
  Therefore, the problem of identifying a specific natural cause for the disintegration of a civilization appears on the agenda, although, of course, the pattern of its "demise" as a final phenomenon in the general series of phenomena of beingness is obvious.
  In our opinion, there is a very convincing argument in favor of determining the inevitable natural and relatively rapid collapse of the technological civilization. This argument is based on the experience of the functioning of complex systems in the information flow, on the one hand, and on the other - on observational data on the complication and development of living beings in the course of evolution.
  Let us briefly introduce this experience and the observational data.
  With the achievement by civilization of the stage of comprehensive coverage of the population by the accessible information flows in the form of the Internet through phones, thar, on the one hand, is plunging it into the abyss of degradation due to the lack of need for independent acquisition of the necessary information as well as study for this, submerging society into a state of stagnation, thereby preventing its development, and on the other hand, the information flows become so voluminous and difficult to understand for adequate filtering by the human brain, limited in this regard, despite the help of the artificial intelligence, that all control systems currently based on the consumption and analysis of information using computers are going to pieces due to inadequate final decisions of a person. The consequence of this process is the loss of control with the emergence of a number of catastrophes incompatible with the existence of civilization in the previous mode.
  In other words, the civilization as a system begins to lose control, mainly due to the avalanche-like influx of information and the impossibility of its usual processing. In this regard the current situation does not provide time correctly to definite those few points to which the behavior of a civilization is sensitive, the more that these points even in normal conditions are not self-evident.
  As a result, the majority of line-ups of a feed-back is being removed in area of the negative feed-back which starts generating an exponential attenuation of process. But the nonlinearity of system at attempts to reconstruct it in a worsening situation and to bring to lifting, blocks all efforts made for change of behavior of system [5].
  There is no time in a situation of the informational collapse for the exact definition of the reasons of worsening behavior of the system, and the casual symptoms are accepted for them. If the efforts go on the elimination of symptoms, the true reasons remain unaffected. Such action either ineffective or leads to deterioration. Thus, the structure of the real system due to lack of ability to organize incoming avalanche of the information in the form that adequately reflects the structure of the system remains out of undertaken influences.
  This is the explanation of the process of the beginning destruction of the current civilization from the position of its presentation as a complex system falling into a situation of the information collapse.
  The observational data on the complication and development of living beings in the course of evolution also convincingly demonstrate, already from the position of the current time, its densification to the point of singularity, which means the point beyond which extrapolation begins to give meaningless results.
  Let us present specific observational data on the densification of the current time for communities of living beings from the moment of their appearance up to the present time.
  The single-celled organisms appeared on Earth 3.5 billion years ago.
  The time interval from the emergence of the single-celled primitive organisms to the formation of more structured organisms in the form of algae had compiled 2.3 billion calendar years.
  Animals have appeared about 550 million years ago. Accordingly, the time interval from the appearance of algae to the appearance of the first animals turned out to be shorter - about 650 million calendar years.
  The first mammals appeared 220 million calendar years ago. That is, the time interval from the appearance of the first primitive animals to the appearance of complexly organized mammals turned out to be even shorter - about 330 million calendar years.
  Thus, it is noticeable that the development of organisms on Earth went with acceleration, that is, the own time of these groups of organisms was being got denser.
  If we follow the course of development of the animal world, then we can note the incessant densification of the own time of development from simpler creatures to more complex ones.
  In particular, the first mammals appeared 220 million calendar years ago, the first monkeys appeared about 30 million calendar years ago, the first hominids appeared 6 million years ago, first homo sapiens appeared about 200 thousand years ago.
  This acceleration, at least, indicates that living beings, residing in astronomical time, along with that have their own time, which fits into the external one - astronomical, or calendar for us. Moreover, it turns out that since this time does not fall on them from somewhere above, they form it involuntarily, also differing in this property from inanimate objects of beingness.
  In this own time, which makes up not only the phases of development of individual populations with the appearance of new species or qualitative changes in existing ones, but also the life time of every living being from birth to death, one can think and act, at a minimum, to keep oneself in this time due to dissatisfaction with the existing, that stimulates aspiration for the best, willy-nilly changing with the possibility of developing in generations, first involuntarily, and then, with the advent of a person, by design and planning, subordinating one's time even more to oneself, but not suspecting it, although from the outside this is visible by the increasingly accelerated course of this time as a result of the actions of human communities within the framework of civilization, that is, in proprietary relations.
  First of all, it should be noted that with the emergence of the human communities among the communities of living beings, the compaction of the own time of these human communities has increased sharply, and the apparent reason for this phenomenon is that, in contrast to the purely adaptive behavior of all other living beings.
  A person"s program of actions has radically expanded towards his acquiring the ability to set goals and achieve them, using his emerging abilities for creativity, penetrating his ideas into the future, and thereby mastering time, that is, realizing himself in it, whereas the animals are always limited only to the present in the form of sensations.
  The volume of information flows in this case increases sharply, the environment begins to purposefully change under the influence of these new creatures, at the same time changing them themselves at a much faster pace than what happened before.
  That is, a person in his communities falls into the field of increasingly increasing information flows that are perceived by his senses, developing both them and the body's control organs, as a result of which, for example, the mass of the human brain has increased several times compared to the mass of the primate brain.
  Let us now note how the acceleration of human communities has changed with the emergence of civilization within the framework of the main phases of their development in units of calendar time.
  The slave system, which replaced the primitive communal organization of human communities, which took many tens of thousands of years, lasted only several thousand years until the transition to the feudal type of economy.
  During the era of feudalism, the development of civilization accelerated even more than during the period of the slave system, taking a little more than a thousand years in Europe.
  Capitalism occupied a historical period of several centuries - from the 17th century to the 21st century, accelerating the development of civilization several times compared to feudalism.
  This increased greatly acceleration of human communities in comparison with other communities of living beings was first noted by the historian I. M. Dyakonov in 1994: "There is no doubt that historical process shows signs of natural exponential acceleration. From emergence of Homo sapiens until the end of the I phase passed not less than 30 thousand years, II phase lasted about 7 thousand years, III phase - about 2 thousand years, IV phase - about 1.5 thousand, V phase - about one thousand years, VI - about 300, VII phase - a little more than 100 years, duration of VIII phase while it is impossible to determine. Put on the schedule these phases add up in exponential development which assumes eventually transition to the vertical line or rather, to the point of so-called singularity. Scientific and technical achievements of mankind were being developed according to the exponential schedule likewise ..." [6].
  Thus, it becomes clear that the acceleration of the human communities' own time is directly related to information flows.
  If time in the process of activity of living beings is an information product, then with the change in the information flows covering a living being or beings, the time of their own life and the periods of life of their genera or species, as well as the phases of existence of human communities that differ qualitatively, changes in accordance with the change in the information flows in which they find themselves, despite the fact that calendar time or is astronomical time flowing in the same mode?
  Naturally, the compaction of own time of individual communities of biological systems in the course of their development cannot proceed indefinitely, shrinking at an accelerated rate, despite the fact that all these time intervals fit into the invariably current astronomical time, which in itself shows the difference between these types of time [see, for example, 7].
  Time of any living being, in particular, a person as it will seem strange, actually is information process, during which material objects are identified by consciousness by surroundings scanning by it with facilities which are at its order (sense organs in combination with the processing centers).
  Incoming to consciousness, more precisely, in its relevant centers from sense organs impulses (information packages) contain the coded data on material objects which the consciousness was capable to identify. These signals merge in consciousness in a picture incessantly changing surroundings, inasmuch the pause between the impulses arriving one after another is obliterated in consciousness of living being at the expense of a certain duration of processing of every portion of information and arising thereby the delay, doing for consciousness the discrete process of receipt of information as the continuous (a perception threshold).
  If we proceed from this position, the rate of flow of time for every individual human consciousness depends on the amount of information (the amount and content of information packets), incoming in the processing centers of the human body, and on the speed of processing the incoming information in these centers (ibid.).
  In normal circumstances, for each person of his own time "flows" ordinary, not changing his move: he fixes time in accordance with such external factors as the hour hand, the movement of the sun across the sky and other periodic phenomena.
  Illusion of a smooth current of time is created by the fact that consciousness of a person owing to his physiological features isn't capable to notice pulse character of the arriving information.
  The general information packet for every moment passes to brain neurons from different human organs in the form of sequences of nervous pulses, in each of which the relevant information is included. Speed of distribution of nervous pulses fluctuates in the range from 1 m/s to 120 m/s. Frequency and character of the pulse sequence, bearing, in particular, the visual information depend on intensity and spectral content of light, at this value and duration of separate pulse don't depend by nature and power of irritation.
  Directly after the pulse generation the nervous fiber is in, so-called, refractory state and can't be excited again during 1-2 milliseconds, i.e. the nervous fiber is able to conduct nervous pulses with a frequency not higher than 500 Hz. Duration of the pulse which is passing along a nervous fiber makes shares of millisecond in every "moment" - it is near to lag time, i.e. - to the duration of the restoration of a nervous fiber (a refractory state).
  The pause between nervous pulses, containing information means that they don't go continuously. However, this pause is below a threshold of sensations and therefore doesn't get to consciousness: in particular the moving picture for consciousness of the person is provided with an interval between the running consecutive shots about 0.04 seconds, which makes the specified threshold. Its duration, as can be seen more than order of the duration of a pause. Therefore, the discrete sequential moments of own time of the person which include in its sequence all patterns and all events of life for a person, merge in the continuous, indivisible flow in his consciousness.
  Here, in this process own time of a person arises which he unconsciously replaces by external periodic time though actually a source of his own time (his "now") is he self, whereas a source of "external" (general) time is something an external, common to all, which is nevertheless being formed by means of all living beings.
  "Now" (own time) is the condition for modification by a person of the surroundings in case of which he, partially instinctively, automatically, partially consciously selects from the environment, which can be infinitely various only those data which give in to decryption by his sensations, which act in conjunction with processing centers of the organism, or information.
  This condition can be called a person's own time because in it sequentially arise moments, formed by his organ senses and his processing centers, in the form of a moving picture of the surrounding in which events occur, and he can be in them directly involved, that makes his life (ibid.).
  Thus, all objects of beingness experience changes in accordance with incoming information packets already within the framework of the current time, which is being distributed into the general (astronomical) time for all living beings of a given planet in the corresponding infrastructure and the own time of each living being, as and their communities, within the framework of the general time. At this, a person, understanding his presence in its flow, considers this general time to be calendar time, unlike all other living beings who are unaware of this.
  As for the own time of each living being, the flow of which passes unnoticed for him, it depends mainly on the speed of processing information entering the body through the senses, which in the course of evolution has acquired significant differences for various beings, as if slowed down for plants (the lifespan of sequoia and yew reaches 3 thousand years of the astronomical time) and more rapid, in particular, for small crustaceans (several weeks of the astronomical time). The own time for each living creature begins with its birth and ends with its death, differing at the same time by a maximum of millions of times in units of astronomical time, but, nevertheless, fully corresponding to all the canons of the life cycle (growth, development, reproduction, decline in vital activity).
  That is, the observational data on the complication and development of living beings in the course of evolution also convincingly demonstrate the compaction of the current own time of their communities from the single-celled organisms to the current civilization, up to the point of singularity, which means the point beyond which extrapolation begins to give meaningless results, which in this case means the onset of the process of destruction of the current civilization, which will be followed by not the "end of the world," but, after a certain pause, the restoration of civilization in approximately the same form [see, for example, 8], and this process will continue as long as the conditions on the planet are acceptable for the existence of biological creatures with the possibility of their development.
  The cyclical nature of civilizations is also indicated by the change in the entropy of a system-civilization during its existence, which is a consequence of changes in the perception of information flows by this system.
  Entropy reflects the degree of disorder of the system, which also affects the dispersion of energy, matter or information.
  The organic world, which is initially feeding by the decay products of the sun, in the process of its own complication reduces the level of entropy, since the gradually occurring ordering of nature begins to prevail over the decay products produced by living beings, reaching its limit at the peak of civilization as a result of the conscious activity of the human communities.
  However, in the course of the development of civilization, a stage comes when a person, due to his biological nature and the corresponding limitations in thoughts and actions, is unable, as before, to perceive and filter incoming information, using it for his own benefit. That is, the process of useless and even harmful dispersion of information, or the growth of entropy, begins to prevail, violating the order established in human communities, so much so that, practically, all control systems cease to function in a stable mode.
  We can observe all this at the present time both in the economy and in public life.
  In this regard, we will give several examples of the current situation.
  The artificial intelligence, despite its brainlessness, but possessing the high operating speed, clear functioning within the framework of established programs and the huge memory, excludes from the spheres of management, production, distribution and service hundreds of millions of people, incomparably less effective than the artificial intelligence in non-creative spheres of activity, who lose their jobs in their profession, and are unable to retrain and occupy themselves with something else, mostly due to a not very high level of development and insufficient of education.
  Almost all financial resources are now concentrated in a few percent of the population, who do not care about the rest, and they take away from them often even the resources necessary for normal life. In addition, these billionaires and other rich idlers, as a rule, are capable of only consuming and thereby decomposing, introducing a spirit of dissonance and envy into all layers of society, increasingly increasing its disunity, and, therefore, increasing entropy.
  A bloody struggle for regionally and quantitatively limited natural resources of various kinds has already begun, which are catastrophically insufficient for equal distribution among communities. An ecological crisis has set in, connected mainly with the disastrous pollution of the environment that is produced every day, threatening the extinction of all mankind.
  An energy crisis is on the threshold, since organic fuel and uranium-235 are not enough to provide a uniform supply of energy to a population that has reached 8 billion, and other energy sources capable of resolving the energy crisis are absent, since science and the officials who manage it, having focused on such seemingly promising areas as energy production based on solar batteries and wind stations, have not taken into account their low efficiency. As for thermonuclear installations, they, as it turned out, despite the assurances of many scientists, are not capable of functioning in terrestrial conditions.
  It seems that the end of everything is coming, but, in fact, this process means only a completely adequate expression of an infinity in the finite.
  In other words, the real events can only occur in the world of finite things and phenomena, which, having ended, are repeated after a pause, not literally, but basically, thereby not going into the bad infinity, but being realized in the infinity of a discrete type.
  That is, in this case, the growth of entropy, which is reflected in the loss of orderliness of the system and the dispersion of information, turns out to be, on the whole, a positive factor that prevents the complete destruction of the system, preserving the main thing - man. Thanks to this, and relatively quickly, the system of the human communities will begin to be ordered again, if, of course, natural conditions allow it.
  The situation indicated quite clearly shows that a civilization is characterized not by arrow-shaped progress, as many believe, but by the endless cyclicity in endless series of exoplanets, but without the repetition in details, which, for example, is demonstrated by the artifacts preserved from previous civilizations on Earth [ibid.].
  All this testifies to the fact that a person with his civilization is nothing more than a means to achieve some goal of some something, not included directly in the beingness in which a person resides.
  
  Bibliography
  
  1. Проблема поиска жизни во Вселенной. Труды Таллиннского симпозиума. Москва. 1986 г.
  2. Hart M. "An Explanation for the Absence of Extraterrestrials on Earth", QJRAS, 1975.
  3. I. Shklovsky. "The Universe, Life, Intelligence". 10.04.2024. Amazon
  4. Brandon Carter (1983). "The anthropic principle and its implications for biological evolution". Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A310: 347-363.
  5 Jay W. Forrester "Urban Dynamics". 01.01.1969. Amazon.
  6. Дьяконов И.М. Пути истории. От древнейшего человека до наших дней. КомКнига. Москва. 2007г.
  7. Nizovtsev Yu. M. Time as a sliding present formed by consciousness. Monography "Creation as the unity of eternity in time and nothingness out of time". Chapter 5. 2024. Litres.ru, Amazon.
  8. Nizovtsev Yu. M. Are "paradisiacal tabernacles" on Earth possible? Monography "On the causes of the consequences of the human activity". Chapter 16. 2024. Litres.ru, Amazon.
  
  
  
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